The GameMaster's Blackjack School
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Lesson 16: To
Split or Not To Split
The primary factor to consider when
splitting pairs is whether or not your casino of choice allows
doubling after splitting (DAS). If DAS is allowed, you must
have the proper basic strategy memorized. I see players make
a lot of errors in splitting pairs, primarily with a hand
of 8, 8. Most know that a pair of 8s should be split against
all up cards, but most stand when they hold them against a
dealer's 10. The cost of that mistake isn't huge, simply because
a hand of 8,8 is fairly rare. But by standing, a player has
an expectation of -.537% and by splitting (if DAS is allowed),
an expectation of -.483% is realized. So, the extra money
which is put to risk does -- in the long run -- give a better
return. Think of it this way. Would you rather stand with
a 16 against a 10 or hit an 8 against a 10? By splitting,
you get to hit an 8. Incidentally, the numbers also indicate
that splitting is best when DAS isn't allowed, though there
isn't as big a difference.
As the true count goes up, you'll
split more and as it goes down, you'll split less. One play
which is justified by a high count is the splitting of 10s.
For example, there may come a time when it's worthwhile to
split a pair of face cards against a 6. I counsel my students
to avoid that play since it draws such a negative reaction
from other players at the table. I don't really care what
the others at a table think of my play, but if the floor personnel
are alerted to what I've done, their initial suspicion may
be that I'm a counter. If they've seen me playing good basic
strategy and suddenly I have a big bet out and I do something
like splitting 10s against a 6, they're going to think I'm
either very stupid or very smart. I guess it all relates to
the image your projecting in the casino; if it's one of a
'wild man', then go for it. But if you're quiet, polite and
a non-drinker, I'd advise against making the play.
All other splitting situations should
be followed to the letter; especially that of splitting 4s
against a 5 or 6 (if DAS is allowed). Most people don't have
the pairs part of basic strategy memorized perfectly, so they
won't know what's right or wrong when you do it and most think
it's wrong to split 4s. Nothing quite like making the right
play and looking like a dummy when you do it!
As you go through the numbers on
splitting pairs, you'll see that some don't agree with those
published by Stanford Wong and other authors. As I've explained
before, some have been modified as a result of Friedman's
study on risk-averse play, and I feel they take no advantage
from you yet do lower your risk somewhat.
Basic Strategy Variations:
Double after split allowed. |
| 3,3 vs. 2 |
Hit at 0 or lower. |
(Instead of splitting.) |
| 4,4 vs. 5 |
Hit at 0 or lower. |
|
| 4,4 vs. 6 |
Hit at -2 or lower. |
|
| 6,6 vs. 2 |
Hit at -2 or lower. |
|
| 8,8 vs. 10 |
Stand at 8. |
(If the count is really high, you do
stand instead of hit.) |
| 9,9 vs. 7 |
Split at |
As always, if you have any questions, e-mail
me at
aceten1@mindspring.com
and Ill get back to you ASAP.
Next time I'll show you how test
yourself on the basic strategy variations.
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